How ought to we worth Rookie QBs in Greatest Ball Drafts?

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With all of the discuss of the rise in ADP in Bestball for Anthony Richardson, I believed it will be good to return and have a look at how rookie quarterbacks have fared from a fantasy perspective. Utilizing FantasyPros weekly fantasy soccer leaders I’ll give their weekly common and the place they ranked within the league. I will even give the variety of video games performed and begins, and spotlight the 20-24.9, 25-29.9, 30-34.9, and 35+ level video games they’d that 12 months. These are the usable video games we’re in search of in Bestball and what we have to justify drafting a man.

Notes on Methodology:

Although a 10-year pattern can be enough I did wish to be truthful and embody some clear outliers so this can cowl 2022-2011.
I’m together with each 1st spherical choose on this time and 2nd-4th rd QBs who both gained the beginning job, or had some buzz/probability of taking part in early. Whereas there could be some debate on these gamers, I attempt to be truthful within the evaluation. Additionally, a few of these gamers wouldn’t have been on drafters’ radar till proper earlier than the season (i.e. Dak Prescott), so that’s essential to bear in mind how they’d have been drafted when it comes to Bestball.
Which means that conditions like Brock Purdy, Jalen Hurts, or Gardner Minshew gained’t be checked out. Although they could have been streamer choices in redraft leagues or fliers in DFS, nobody probably had any purpose to draft them in such a format.
Rankings and weekly common can be based mostly on weeks 1-17 for 2021-2022, and 1-16 for 2011-2020. These are in fact not solely the related fantasy scoring weeks for Bestball, however this helps to make sure that last week outliers don’t skew the information an excessive amount of.
When potential I’ll attempt to solely use rookie scores in the event that they performed nearly all of the sport, and never simply mop-up kind responsibility. So their factors rating is perhaps somewhat totally different, I’ll attempt to word these conditions to supply further context. Observe in the event that they began a recreation and obtained injured, that recreation will nonetheless rely.
Gamers should have performed in not less than 5 video games to rely for a rating.
Except in any other case famous I gained’t be together with any Closing week (week 17 or week 18 relying on the season) stats within the evaluation. For instance, if a participant began 16 of 16 video games, I’m solely what they did in video games 1-15. If they’d 5 20+ level video games in that window, I’ll say 5 of 15, not 5 of 16.

 

Watch Execs and Cons for Drafting Anthony Richardson In Greatest Ball Drafts at his present ADP

2022:

Kenny Pickett: 12 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 12.1, Rank: thirty third | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

It was a tough begin for Pickett as his highest fantasy factors recreation was 19.1. His common and rating may need been somewhat increased if he didn’t go away a recreation actually early as a result of a concussion, but it surely wouldn’t have helped that a lot. The offense as a complete appeared higher with him because the season wore on, but it surely didn’t result in many fantasy factors for Pickett.

Desmond Ridder: 4 begins, 4 video games | Avg: 7.6, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Ridder wasn’t drafted an excessive amount of final season as his third RD draft capital was worrisome, however he did get somewhat buzz after camp began and preseason (extra so in 20 RD league drafts). Ridder’s highest level whole within the 3 video games counting in the direction of his common was 9.5.

Malik Willis:  3 begins, 8 video games | Avg: 7.3, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Willis was a pre-draft favourite and that led to some to nonetheless take into account drafting him. Whereas he flashed some dynamic playmaking within the preseason, it didn’t switch over into the common season. In his 3 begins, he obtained 2.4, 7.2, and 12.3 fantasy factors.

2021:

Trevor Lawrence: 17 begins, 17 video games | Avg: 12.3, Rank: thirty fourth | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Positively a forgettable rookie 12 months for the consensus no 1 choose. Between the shortage of a supporting forged and poor teaching, it was all the time going to be a wrestle, but it surely meant that Lawrence had little or no fantasy worth exterior of truly taking part in each recreation.

Zach Wilson: 13 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 12.7, Rank: 32 | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Wilson didn’t have a ton of help as a rookie, however you might see some troubling indicators from the beginning. A mid-season harm didn’t assist issues and this left him very a lot a fantasy legal responsibility. He was handed the beginning function out of the gate, and that clear path most likely had him in consideration for Bestball drafts greater than he ought to have.

Trey Lance: 2 begins, 6 video games | Avg: 18.7, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Lance had lots of buzz and was fairly in style in Bestball drafts (probably can be much more in the identical scenario right this moment), however ended up being a line-up killer as he didn’t win the beginning job, and will by no means pry it away from Garoppolo. Within the 3 video games the place he stuffed in as a result of harm, his fantasy numbers have been strong with an 18.7, however he didn’t meet the 5-game minimal to rely within the rankings.  His highest recreation of the three was 20.4, so there shouldn’t be an excessive amount of hype from a misplaced alternative. Had he performed extra he most likely would have had a 15-18 level common given the expertise surrounding him, however it will be powerful to venture greater than that.

Justin Fields: 10 begins, 12 video games | Avg: 12.6, Rank: thirty third | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Fields didn’t begin both of the first two video games after which suffered a Ribs and ankle harm later within the season that knocked him out of 4 extra video games. The Bears additionally sat him week 18 out of precaution. In his 10 begins Fields struggled fairly a bit and had 5 video games underneath 9 fantasy factors. His two 20+ video games have been 20.4 and 26.3.

Mac Jones: 17 begins, 17 video games | Avg: 14.1, Rank: T27th | 20-24.9: 3 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

It wasn’t till proper earlier than the season that Mac Jones was named the starter. Nonetheless being a 1st spherical choose he was probably on the Bestball group’s radar as a late-round flier. Jones did play in each recreation and had 3 20 level video games, however he by no means cracked 22.3. He was at finest a third QB choice, who helped increase the ground of your weekly scoring by a small quantity.

Davis Mills: 11 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 11.7, Rank: thirty fifth | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Mills was a tricky name to incorporate on right here or not as he positively wasn’t a starter heading into the season. Per week 2 harm to Tyrod Taylor obtained him within the line-up for a few weeks. Then on the finish of the season, the Texans went again to him to see if there was any future potential. General he wasn’t going to be drafted that always, however there was somewhat camp buzz on him, and Taylor was solely seen as a stopgap QB. Fantasy gamers didn’t miss a lot as he solely had 2 video games over 20 factors, with the very best being 24.7.

2020:

Joe Burrow: 10 begins, 10 video games | Avg: 17.9, Rank: sixteenth | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 1 | 35+: 0

Burrow hit the bottom operating as a rookie as 8 of his 10 begins he had 15+ fantasy factors, with 2 within the low 20’s and a pleasant spike week recreation of 34.6. Sadly, a knee harm knocked him out of the final 5 weeks. From a fantasy perspective, he was a superb QB 2. It was a higher-scoring fantasy season, which is partly why he couldn’t crack the QB 1 vary with that 17.9 common.

Tua Tagovailoa: 9 begins, 10 video games | Avg: 15.2, Rank: twenty eighth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

The Dolphins sat Tua (exterior of mop-up responsibility) till their bye, beginning him week 8 for the primary time. He later missed one other recreation as a result of a thumb harm. Tua was up-and-down as a rookie with a pair of video games within the 20’s, together with a 28 level excessive. Different weeks although he couldn’t crack 10 factors. It wasn’t absolutely clear that he was positively sitting to start out the season, however that ought to have been baked into Bestball technique as he wasn’t additionally given the beginning function.

Justin Herbert: 15 begins, 15 video games | Avg: 22.1, Rank: ninth | 20-24.9: 5 |25-29.9: 3 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 1

Herbert didn’t start the season because the starter and wouldn’t even have performed in Week 2 if not for a freakish pre-game harm to Tyrod Taylor that compelled Herbert within the line-up. Herbert is all the things one may hope for from a rookie fantasy QB as he had a robust ground, and loads of ceiling. Within the 14 video games between weeks 2-16 that we’re targeted on, Herbert had 9 high quality fantasy video games together with 38.5 factors one week. Three different video games have been within the 27-28 vary, and he solely had one recreation beneath 15 fantasy factors. Whereas he was positively anticipated to be inserted sooner or later within the season, it’s unclear when the Chargers would have turned to him. It may have been just like the Tua scenario ready till after the week 6 bye.

Jordan Love: 0 begins, 0 video games | Avg: N/A, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: N/A |25-29.9: N/A | 30-34.9: N/A | 35+: N/A

Not solely did Jordan Love not begin a recreation, however he didn’t even play his rookie 12 months as Aaron Rodgers went on to win the MVP. Hopefully, Bestball drafters prevented this example in any other case it was costing them dearly.

2019:

Kyler Murray: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 18.8, Rank: thirteenth | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 4 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Murray confirmed off his dynamic playmaking potential as a rookie, ending a powerful twelfth in factors per recreation common. With 6 good fantasy weeks out of 15 video games, Kyler was definitely worth the funding in Bestball-style drafts. He did have a extra unstable ground as he did have 5 video games underneath 15 fantasy factors as nicely. General although so long as you didn’t overdraft him, Kyler was a superb fantasy participant this 12 months. If he was paired with 1-2 different solid-to-good QBs you most likely had a robust QB rating most weeks.

Daniel Jones: 12 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 19.3, Rank: eleventh | 20-24.9: |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 2 | 35+: 1

Jones didn’t begin the primary 2 video games after which missed two video games later within the 12 months as a result of an ankle harm. Daniel Jones is the poster little one of rookie spike week upside, with 4 video games between 28.2 and 35.3 in 11 begins on this window. He’s additionally the poster little one of a rocky ground as not a single one in all his different 7 video games did he hit the 15 level mark. Jones’ spike weeks are what everyone seems to be in search of in finest ball, however his unusability in so many different weeks, meant that may most likely wanted not 1, however two different QBs if you happen to have been going to attempt to make it work.

Dwayne Haskins: 7 begins, 10 video games | Avg: 10.4, Rank: thirty fourth | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Haskins sat for the beginning of the season getting in somewhat work in a few video games. He lastly obtained the beginning function later within the 12 months, amassing 7 begins and taking part in considerably in an eighth recreation. In that point he solely broke 15 factors twice, with a excessive of 19 factors. Although he was anticipated to sit down some, Washington didn’t have a high quality beginning choice that 12 months, so Haskins ought to have been seen as a late spherical goal.

Drew Lock: 5 begins, 5 video games | Avg: 14.8, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Although not essentially anticipated to start out the season, Lock suffered a thumb harm in preseason that compelled him to go on IR for the primary 11 video games. By that point the Broncos have been able to insert him within the line-up, and he began the remaining video games. With solely 4 video games in the course of the window he didn’t qualify for a rating, however he did flash with one 20+ level recreation in that point. He would have nonetheless been a reasonably disappointing choice for many who tried to draft him late.

2018:

Baker Mayfield: 13 begins, 14 video games | Avg: 16.9, Rank: 18th | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 2 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Mayfield didn’t begin the primary 2 video games and got here in the course of the third recreation. From that time on he stayed within the line-up and confirmed a mix of the massive play, massive danger fashion that he’s been recognized for. Mayfield did handle 4 strong 20+ level video games with a excessive of 25.9, however he additionally had 7 underneath 15 factors. Add in sitting the primary 2 begins and it’s a high-end QB 3/low-end QB 2 profile.

Sam Darnold: 13 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 13.4, Rank: thirty first | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Of the 5 1st rounders, Darnold was the one one who was set to start out from week 1. Sadly, an harm value him 3 video games in the course of the season. In eight of the 12 video games he completed with underneath 15 fantasy factors, and simply two have been 20 plus, with a excessive of 26. Not lots of fantasy worth for the third general choose and the rookie with essentially the most established workload going into the season.

Josh Allen: 11 begins, 12 video games | Avg: 15.2, Rank: twenty second | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 3 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Allen didn’t begin recreation 1, however rapidly obtained into the sport because the starter struggled mightily. Allen then began 11 of the following 15 video games, lacking 4 video games as a result of harm. Allen struggled as a passer, however his dashing worth helped permit him to have a pair robust fantasy video games ranging between 26-28.7. In 6 of the 11 video games, Allen failed to achieve 15 factors, together with 4 underneath 10 factors. The upside was actual, however the actuality was he was extra of a QB 3 with some spike potential.

Josh Rosen: 13 begins, 14 video games | Avg: 8.9, Rank: thirty sixth | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Rosen didn’t begin taking part in till week 3, and obtained the beginning function week 4. Regardless of that a lot utilization, his play was simply atrocious. He provided zero worth as a fantasy participant.

Lamar Jackson: 7 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 17.2, Rank: sixteenth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Jackson performed in each recreation, however he didn’t find yourself beginning till after the bye week for the ultimate 7 video games. His common was robust in the course of the 6 video games on this window, however his highest level whole was simply 20.2 factors, so there wasn’t a ceiling right here. Sadly for fantasy gamers, Jackson’s lack of utilization early on would have made it powerful for him to repay for drafters.

2017:

Mitch Trubisky: 12 begins, 12 video games | Avg: 11.5, Rank: thirty second | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Trubisky was the first QB taken within the draft, and he got here in week 5 and began the remaining 12 video games. Within the 11-game pattern, he had only one 20-point recreation (21.3) and 6 video games of 10 or fewer factors. He was a fantasy non-asset his season, and wouldn’t have been value choosing in Bestball.

Patrick Mahomes: 0 begins, 0 video games | Avg: N/A, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: N/A |25-29.9: N/A | 30-34.9: N/A | 35+: N/A

Mahomes solely began 1 recreation as a rookie, in week 17 so exterior of the pattern. Although he would change into an elite QB in a short time, he didn’t provide worth for fantasy drafters that 12 months. Now it was anticipated that he wouldn’t begin to start the 12 months, because the Chiefs had Alex Smith, however had Smith struggled, or the Chiefs struggled he may have compelled his means into the line-up. Hopefully, drafters would have taken the scenario into consideration, as they evaluated him.

DeShaun Watson: 6 begins, 7 video games | Avg: 24.1.1, Rank: 1st | 20-24.9: 2 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 2 | 35+: 1

Watson was electrical as a rookie and took the league by storm. He didn’t begin week 1, however obtained an opportunity center of the sport and didn’t look again. He made 6 extra begins, however misplaced the remainder of the season as a result of accidents together with an ACL tear. In that point although he was taking part in at an unimaginable stage for fantasy. Three 30+ video games over the course of a season is nice, over the course of 6 begins is superb. Add in two different 20+ level video games and it was a fantastic fantasy debut. Now it wouldn’t take something away from the manufacturing he did give, however it’s value noting that his TD fee (9.3%) was absurd and never supported by his low completion fee (61.8%) and INT fee (3.9%). If he had been in a position to play out the remainder of the season, he most likely would have nonetheless had some good 20+ fantasy weeks, however we shouldn’t mechanically extrapolate and say he would have stored producing 30+ video games at that stage.

Deshone Kizer: 15 begins, 15 video games | Avg: 1, Rank: thirty seventh | 20-24.9: 3 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Kizer was a extremely touted 2nd spherical choose and the Browns gave him the reins to start out the season. He made 15 begins lacking one recreation as a result of harm. To be truthful for Kizer Cleveland had no actual expertise round him, however the outcomes weren’t nice. He did handle 3 20+ level video games, with a excessive of 23. He additionally had 7 video games the place he wasn’t in a position to crack 10 factors. From a fantasy perspective, if you happen to wanted to depend on Kizer, you have been in hassle.

2016:

Jared Goff: 7 begins, 7 video games | Avg: 8.1, Rank: thirty seventh | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

It was an unsightly rookie season for Goff because the Rams waited till after the bye week to start out him, permitting him to play the ultimate 7 video games of the season. Goff solely managed to crack 10 factors as soon as within the 6 begins on this window (16.6), and was not usable in fantasy in any respect. Regardless of being the first general choose, the Rams took it gradual with him and he nonetheless wasn’t prepared to provide. Lack of video games performed, and an absence of manufacturing is a nasty mixture in Bestball.

Carson Wentz: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 12.9, Rank: twenty eighth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

The Eagles had different choices in camp, however they left open the door for Wentz to win the job. He did so main the group to commerce Sam Bradford and let Wentz begin all 16 video games. Wentz solely had 1 recreation over 20 factors (21) and three others over 15, so it wasn’t the strongest fantasy season.

Paxton Lynch: 2 begins, 3 video games | Avg: 9.5, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Lynch had the chance to win the job as a rookie as his solely competitors was 2nd-year seventh rd choose Trevor Siemian and Mark Sanchez. He was uncooked coming in, however not less than there was a chance he may take the job. His solely 2 begins got here as a result of Siemian being injured and he did little to counsel he ought to keep within the line-up. Lynch additionally had a reasonably robust supporting forged because the Broncos gained the Tremendous Bowl the season earlier than.  Given the skinny depth chart and his athletic profile, I’d think about he would have gotten some love in Bestball circles in the course of the offseason.

Dak Prescott: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 19, Rank: seventh | 20-24.9: 4 |25-29.9: 2 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Prescott had a incredible rookie season, and what’s loopy is it virtually didn’t occur. If not for a preseason again harm to Tony Romo, Prescott wouldn’t have had the chance to start out. He gained the back-up job as a 4th spherical rookie and continued to play nicely after they flip the beginning function over to him as nicely. Within the 15-game pattern, he had 6 20+ level video games together with a excessive of 27.3. Prescott solely had 3 video games underneath 15 factors, which means he hardly ever was a unfavorable to your line-up. General Dak Prescott is likely one of the finest rookie success tales over these 12 seasons, however given his 4th rd draft standing, he probably wasn’t a blip on the Bestball radar till proper earlier than the season began.

2015:

Jameis Winston: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 17.2, Rank: nineteenth | 20-24.9: 1  |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Winston was given the job from the beginning, and performed in all 16 video games. He solely managed 2 20+ level video games, although his highest virtually cracked 30 factors at 29.8. The remainder of his season was fairly above common with solely 6 video games underneath 15. Typically, he was a strong floor-play QB who did have one fairly good spike recreation.

Marcus Mariota: 12 begins, 12 video games | Avg: 17.5, Rank: seventeenth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 1 | 35+: 1

Mariota was a spike week QB his rookie 12 months as he began the season as a starter, however did have to miss 4 video games as a result of harm. Within the 11 video games on this pattern, he had 4 actually usable weeks together with spike weeks of 25, 33.3, and 35.9. His different 7 video games weren’t that robust as he failed to interrupt 10 factors in 4 of the 7. As a QB2 with a spike week upside he delivered, however he couldn’t have been your QB1 in Bestball.

2014:

Blake Bortles: 13 begins, 14 video games | Avg: 12.1, Rank: thirtieth | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Bortles didn’t play in any respect within the first 2 video games, after which got here within the third recreation earlier than lastly taking on because the starter. He struggled all through the season and by no means topped the 20-point mark. In reality solely 4 of the 13 video games on this pattern topped 15 factors. For the highest QB chosen this was not the expectation of fantasy homeowners.

Johnny Manziel: 2 begins, 5 video games | Avg: 4.0, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

It was obvious fairly rapidly that the Manziel experiment was going to be a failure. He couldn’t earn the beginning function within the preseason, and whereas he appeared in a few video games for a handful of performs he wasn’t actually concerned. Lastly, on the finish of the season, he obtained somewhat extra taking part in time and the outcomes have been terrible. He was injured in his 2nd begin and missed the ultimate recreation of the season. Hopefully, fantasy drafters noticed the writing on the wall beforehand and didn’t waste a variety on him.

Teddy Bridgewater: 12 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 14.0, Rank: twenty seventh | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Bridgewater didn’t play within the first 2 video games, earlier than seeing a bigger function in recreation three. He then began recreation 4 of the season however missed the following recreation as a result of harm. After that he got here again and began the remainder of the best way. Bridgewater did have 1 20 level recreation, 5 video games within the 15-19 level vary, and 6 video games beneath 15 factors. Given the decrease scores and late begin to the season, he was not more than a low-end QB3.

Derek Carr: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 12.3, Rank: twenty ninth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Carr gained the job in camp and began all 16 video games for the Raiders as a 2nd spherical choose. Within the 15-game pattern, Carr had two 20+ level video games with a excessive of 25.5 factors. He solely had three different video games within the 15-19 level vary, which means 10 of his video games have been underneath 15, and principally unplayable. He did win the beginning job from the first week, however didn’t provide an excessive amount of else making him a low-end QB3.

2013:

E.J. Manuel: 10 begins, 10 video games | Avg: 13.3, Rank: twenty sixth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Manuel began the season and performed the primary 5 video games earlier than struggling a knee harm. He missed the following 4 weeks, earlier than coming again in taking part in in 5 extra video games. He then missed the ultimate two video games as a result of harm once more, making it a tough rookie 12 months for the lone 1st spherical QB. Manuel did handle one 20-point recreation within the 10-game pattern, he had 5 different video games within the 15-19 level vary. If not for the harm he may need ended up a strong ground play QB2, however with out spike weeks he couldn’t be seen as greater than that.

Geno Smith: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 11.7, Rank: thirty third | 20-24.9: 4 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Smith gained the beginning job in camp as a 2nd rounder, and although his on-the-field efficiency was troubling, he did do higher for Fantasy drafters. Smith performed in all 16 video games, and within the 15-game pattern, he had 5 video games over 20 factors, together with a excessive of 27.4. He didn’t handle one other recreation over 15 factors, which means you’d solely need him in your line-up for these 5 video games, however that’s higher than lots of rookies. He was most likely a low-end QB2, as he didn’t have any 30+ level spike weeks, however would have helped increase your ground some weeks.

Mike Glennon: 13 begins, 13 video games | Avg: 11.9, Rank: thirty first | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Glennon as a third spherical choose wasn’t anticipated to start out, however after a robust camp, there have been some rumblings that he is perhaps the starter sooner or later within the season. After the primary three video games Josh Freeman was benched, and Glennon was inserted. Within the 12 video games of the pattern dimension, Glennon by no means cracked 20 factors, and had a 6 vs 6 break up of video games above 15 factors and beneath. He most likely wasn’t on the radar in fantasy till late in camp, and he didn’t do a lot to pay-off for many who guess on him because the Bucs starter.

Bonus 2012:

Andrew Luck: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 17.4, Rank: ninth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 3 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Luck was the surefire no 1 choose, and simply gained the beginning QB job. He performed in all 16 video games, and had 4 video games over 20 factors, and one other 5 within the 15-19 vary. This places him as a very good QB 2, however most likely simply shy what you’re hoping for in a QB1 (regardless of the typical rating).

Robert Griffin III: 15 begins, 15 video games | Avg: 21.5, Rank: 1st | 20-24.9: 3 |25-29.9: 2 | 30-34.9: 2 | 35+: 1

Griffin was Washington’s beginning QB principally as quickly as he was drafted. He began 15 of 16 video games, lacking one as a result of a knee harm. RGIII was electrical as a rookie and ended the 12 months as QB1 in ppg. With eight video games within the 14 recreation pattern over 20 factors and three of these going over 30 factors, he was an enormous fantasy asset as a rookie. Simply 4 of his video games went underneath 15 factors, making him fairly precious all 12 months.

Ryan Tannehill: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 11.8, Rank: twenty ninth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Tannehill gained the beginning job an performed in all 16 video games as a rookie. He solely had a single 20-point recreation as a rookie, and eight of his 15 video games within the pattern have been underneath 15 factors. As a fantasy asset that’s low-end QB 3.

Brandon Weeden: 15 begins, 15 video games | Avg: 11.0, Rank: thirty first | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Weeden gained the job as a rookie, and began the primary 15 weeks of the season. His play was tough all season as he managed one 20+ level recreation, and simply three others over 15 factors. He ended up providing little as a fantasy asset, regardless of taking part in each week.

Russell Wilson: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 16.7, Rank: twelfth | 20-24.9: 4 |25-29.9: 1 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 1

Wilson as a third spherical choose beat out Matt Flynn within the preseason and began each recreation of the common season. He was very a lot a spike week QB, however had 4 video games within the 20-25 level bracket, and one other within the 25-29, and one main spike week of 39.4 factors. Most of his different video games have been unusable as 6 of them fell beneath 15 factors. Nonetheless, Wilson would have supplied lots of worth as a Spike Week QB2 choice, for these drafters who took a shot on him.

Bonus 2011:

Cam Newton: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 23.9, Rank: 2nd | 20-24.9: 3 |25-29.9: 2 | 30-34.9: 3 | 35+: 1

Newton took over the beginning function in Carolina and began all 16 video games. He was an elite fantasy asset all through the season, combining numerous spike weeks, good weeks and even above common to be the 2nd general fantasy QB in ppg. Having 9 of 15 video games to go for 20+ fantasy factors with 4 of these over 30 is unimaginable. Positively essentially the most full fantasy efficiency on this 12 12 months window for rookies.

Jake Locker: 0 begins, 5 video games | Avg: 16.0, Rank: N/A | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Locker obtained restricted work as a rookie with the group bringing in veteran Matt Hasselbeck. Given the restricted work, and solely 3 video games with significant snaps his ppg whole is skewed. Locker did handle a 20 level recreation in aid, however by no means had a single begin on the season. There was an expectation that Locker wouldn’t be the starter not less than early within the season, so hopefully that was baked into projections.

Blaine Gabbert: 13 begins, 14 video games | Avg: 7.8, Rank: thirty fifth | 20-24.9: 0 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Gabbert didn’t begin week 1 and got here into play late in week 2, however then was given the beginning function for the remainder of the season. Sadly, it was an terrible 12 months fantasy-wise as within the 14-game pattern dimension, Gabbert solely had a single recreation above 15 factors. Eleven of his video games couldn’t even break 10 factors, making it a very unusable season.

Christian Ponder: 10 begins, 11 video games | Avg: 11.9, Rank: twenty fifth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Ponder sat the primary 5 weeks, performed in week 6 after which began the remainder of the best way his rookie season. Within the 10-game pattern dimension, he managed 1 20-point recreation and two different video games of 15+ factors. Given the shortage of begins and the minimal usable weeks he wouldn’t have been a lot of a fantasy asset.

Andy Dalton: 16 begins, 16 video games | Avg: 13.1, Rank: seventeenth | 20-24.9: 1 |25-29.9: 0 | 30-34.9: 0 | 35+: 0

Dalton gained the job in camp as Carson Palmer‘s successor and began all 16 video games as a rookie. He had two video games within the low 20’s, with a excessive of 21.6, and one other 4 video games within the 15-19 level vary. Dalton provided little greater than a low QB2 or QB3, however he returned extra worth than the opposite rookies exterior of Newton.

Author: Douglas Rodriguez